Top ten development trends of communication indust

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Outlook on the top ten development trends of the communication industry in 2012

the global communication industry has entered a new period of development of great integration, transformation and transformation. The next generation of information technology, represented by the next generation of communication networks, cloud computing, IOT, etc., as a national strategic new industry, is becoming an important driving force for the next round of economic development. The ubiquitous and intelligent broadband communication network has laid a solid foundation for the vigorous development and continuous innovation of interconnection and created favorable conditions for the transformation of the communication industry. The communication industry will further expand to information services, promote the deep integration of informatization and industrialization, promote the upgrading of traditional industries, develop livelihood information services, and deepen the application of information and communication technology in various industries

the communication industry in the new era will show a diversified development trend: first, accelerate the deployment in the field of basic telecommunications networks such as pipeline intelligence, heterogeneous networks, optical fiber broadband access, and lay the cornerstone for the development of informatization. 2、 By building cloud computing data centers, upgrading intelligent terminals, and developing new applications of interconnection and IOT, we can cultivate new core competitiveness and achieve ICT integration. 3、 While providing rich applications and new user experiences, information security, trusted computing and green communication have attracted more and more attention. 4、 In the process of ICT integration, software has quietly become the core of information development and is causing changes in traditional industries

1. Smart pipeline: the way for operators to transform

with the continuous increase in the number of users and the continuous enrichment of business, the network data traffic has exploded. In order to cope with the new network traffic and the "scissors difference" between revenue and cost, and avoid homogeneous competition, the existing extensive business model is rapidly evolving to the refined business model of intelligent pipeline. With the help of intelligent pipeline, telecom operators can fully tap Telecom resources, provide users with richer services, improve profitability, and accelerate business innovation

business innovation and transformation put forward new requirements for networks: on the one hand, telecom networks need to be more "intelligent", with the ability of business and application perception, QoS, traffic optimization, application assurance and policy management. On the other hand, the transformation of the communication industry also requires intelligent pipelines to open up reliable network capabilities to various applications, provide differentiated Internet applications, and launch an endless stream of innovative applications and businesses to provide users with differentiated communication experience and Internet experience. Transform the advantages of telecommunication resources into business income and narrow the "scissors gap"

intelligent pipeline has become an important development direction of the communication industry and the strategic investment focus of telecom operators. It is the only way for telecom operators to transform

2. Heterogeneous: the inevitable trend of mobile network development

the limited spectrum resources and the explosive growth of mobile data traffic make the three-dimensional heterogeneous network composed of multi frequency, multi-mode and cascade coverage an inevitable trend of mobile network convergence and evolution

2g, as the main voice carrier network at this stage, will exist for a long time. The large-scale deployment of 3G provides the main data traffic carrier for mobile Internet. LTE network will enter large-scale deployment, and TD-LTE will also enter comprehensive functional and performance testing in 2012. At the same time, in order to unload network traffic, WLAN will become an effective means of data diversion. The three-dimensional heterogeneous network composed of multi frequency, multi-mode (2G, 3G, LTE and WLAN) and multi-layer overlay began to enter the golden period of development. Heterogeneous networks not only provide a certain diversion for the growing mobile data traffic, but also solve the capacity and coverage problems in indoor and hot areas, and will eventually realize the macro micro association to share the solution to the failure of a pull-down extender, so as to achieve wireless mobile. It is suggested that manufacturers should also purchase new mobile three-dimensional and all-round coverage

the trend of heterogeneous networks requires operators and manufacturers to give more consideration to improving the management and service capabilities of networks, CO evolve in the environment of multi access coexistence, realize complementary performance advantages, optimize resource allocation, improve user experience, and construct a ubiquitous and omnipotent mobile network

3. Fiber to home: the theme of broadband network

broadband network based on copper wire has been difficult to meet the demand of traffic growth in terms of bandwidth expansion. In 2012, the "broadband China" strategy is about to start, and network acceleration will become the main theme. Optical fiber and optical cable will be fully introduced into network construction to build an optical network directly to the home

due to the maturity of the technology, the reduction of the cost and the popularity of fiber to the home, GPON is becoming the mainstream technology of fixed broadband, and 10g PON will be verified and tested in a timely manner. The deployment of optical fiber to the home will promote the priority construction of optical fiber distribution infrastructure. Metro and converged optical networks will pay more attention to the transmission and processing of packet/ip services, and expand to 100gb/s systems to meet the bandwidth requirements of services such as data centers

as the basis of broadband network, optical network also needs to seek to improve its own ability to meet the challenges of ICT development and overcome the data transmission bottleneck introduced by high-speed processing technology. The development of fiber to home broadband network will directly lead to the evolution of optical network and device technology

4. Cloud data center: build the basic environment of Telecom cloud computing

according to CCID consultants' prediction, China's cloud computing related expenditure will increase from 9.2 billion yuan in 2009 to 60.7 billion yuan in 2012, with an average annual compound growth rate of 87%. In the upsurge of cloud computing, the original "data center" will develop into a cloud data center that supports "virtualization" capabilities, showing dynamic, scalable and other characteristics to meet the needs of multi tenancy, virtual desktop and so on. Based on cloud computing infrastructure and open platforms, enterprises can build various service software to realize the unification and organic integration of information systems

in the development of cloud computing, telecom operators will become one of the main driving forces for the construction of cloud data centers, with the goal of achieving differentiated competition with internet service providers. The core of Telecom cloud is to make full use of the network resources of operators, open the network capacity and it computing capacity at the same time on the basis of intelligent pipelines, and form an organic linkage of "end, pipe and cloud"

in the near future, telecom operators will take IAAs as the breakthrough point and naas as as the breakthrough point to promote SaaS applications and form a solid operational capability and business practice foundation for cloud computing. In the long run, cloud computing will cooperate with intelligent terminals, interact with positioning and other services, and echo the extensive deployment of IOT terminals, becoming the evolution path of Telecom cloud in the 3G and mobile Internet environment

5. Software Revolution: trigger changes in traditional industries

as predicted by Moore's theorem, the functional performance of hardware continues to improve, and the cost continues to decline. It has become a cheap commodity and general platform for large-scale production. The ubiquitous broadband network has become the key infrastructure of the information society, and the interconnection has broken all the technical, industrial and regional boundaries. ICT technology is widely used in informatization in all walks of life. More and more special equipment and systems begin to turn to general hardware platforms, making the main business processes more dependent on software implementation and operation

software has gradually become the core of all informatization, which will completely change or even subvert the internal pattern of many industries. Every industry should be prepared to cope with the software revolution. Taking the telecommunications industry as an example, the basic network only provides pipelined connected services, and more business applications will be provided by interconnection in the form of software or services; Network devices began to use commercial computing platforms, and more functions were realized by software. From the operating system, language library, protocol stack, web server, database, to application system and other software, more open source technologies are included. Therefore, traditional industries can quickly keep up with the trend of the software revolution with the help of the power of open source

cloud computing makes application development completely free from the dependence on hardware, which is a software revolution in the IT industry itself; Mobile Internet pays more attention to business applications and user experience, which is the software revolution of mobile communication; IOT focuses on the application of industry informatization, which is a software revolution in related traditional industries

6. Mobile Internet: application weblization

with the continuous rapid growth of the number of mobile Internet applications, e-commerce, payment, social media and other applications will accelerate the transfer to mobile intelligent terminals. Cloud computing and HTML5 will make the provision of content and applications more web-based

with the strong support of Internet giants such as apple and Google, HTML5 will gradually become the de facto standard of the next generation of internet languages. With the continuous enhancement of page rich media processing and the ability to call hardware, more well-known content and application providers will provide services based on HTML5, and mainstream browsers will better support HTML5. With HTML5, the pattern of mobile Internet industry will be changed, the position of browser in the industrial chain will be enhanced, and the mode of thin operating system + browser will be widely used. Its forever and completely web-based business provision will greatly promote the development of cloud computing and wireless broadband mobile communication technology. Thanks to the advantage of cross platform, HTML5 will gradually change the existing gb/t 90.1 ⑵ 002 fastener acceptance inspection application store mode and accelerate the development of enterprise application store

the weblization of mobile Internet applications based on HTML5 will begin to change the industrial chain pattern of terminals and mobile applications, and bring a new round of investment boom

7. Smart terminals: towards cloud integration

smart terminals are the key elements that telecom operators and Internet service providers must consider when formulating their development strategies. With the development of mobile Internet, intelligent terminals are rapidly evolving towards cloud integration. In the era of IOT, the importance of intelligent terminals will become increasingly prominent

cloud integration breaks the boundary between Internet software and local software. Users get services through intelligent terminals, and do not need to care whether the service comes from the cloud or the terminal itself. Various service modules built on the cloud can be combined with functional modules on various intelligent terminals to provide users with unlimited applications. Intelligent terminals also dynamically add a "cloud" to become a part of cloud computing. At the same time, the increasingly rich sensing devices and multi-mode connection capabilities in intelligent terminals make them the key nodes in the IOT. In the future, intelligent terminals will develop more humanized human-computer interaction technologies based on gestures, motion capture, natural language and so on, so as to continuously improve the user experience

the realization of cloud integration depends on the technological breakthrough and improvement of the operating system, development environment and cloud platform, as well as the close cooperation between equipment manufacturers, telecom operators and Internet service providers

8. IOT: industry application first

at present, IOT initially has a certain technology, industry and application foundation, and its development will be a long process. However, there is no doubt that IOT has become one of the strategic commanding heights of the new round of economic and Technological Development in the world

industry application is the main driving force for the development of IOT. At this stage, it will focus on intelligent electricity, intelligent medicine, intelligent transportation, intelligent logistics and other industries, which will also echo and promote each other with the planning of smart cities. Breakthroughs in the four technologies of information perception, transmission, processing and security will become the key to the development of IOT. Among them, information perception and information processing technology are closely related to industry applications. Research on information sensing technology includes RFID, micro and intelligent sensors; Information processing technology mainly stores and mines massive data; Information transmission technology, research the fusion of wireless sensor networks and stable and convenient heterogeneous networks; Huge value of basic data

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